Table of Contents

• Big South Tournament - 1st Round Preview

• NEC Tournament - Quarterfinal Preview

• OVC Tournament - 1st Round Preview

• Summit League Tournament - 1st Round Preview

• Sun Belt Conference Tournament - 2nd Round Preview

Big South Tournament - 1st Round Preview

1.) #9 USC Upstate vs. #8 Gardner-Webb - 7:30 PM ET

Tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 9 seed South Carolina Upstate Spartans (6-25, 2-14 Big South) face the No. 8 seed Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs (10-19, 5-11 Big South) in a Big South Tournament elimination game at Freedom Hall Civic Center. Gardner-Webb swept the season series, winning 74-65 at home on January 18 and dominating 96-87 on the road February 15, outscoring Upstate by an average of 9 points per game. The Bulldogs’ offense, led by Darryl Simmons II (17.4 PPG), has clicked against Upstate’s shaky defense (81.4 PPG allowed, 352nd nationally), while the Spartans rely on Mister Dean (15.7 PPG) to keep it competitive.

Betting Insights: Gardner-Webb is favored at -5.5 (-110), with a moneyline of -184, while Upstate sits at +154. The over/under is 157.5. The Bulldogs’ 2-0 record vs. Upstate this year supports the spread, but their 1-5 ATS skid in the last six games adds risk. Upstate’s 7-5 ATS as a 7+ point underdog shows fight, though their 6-25 record tempers upset hopes. Both teams bleed points defensively, and their February clash hit 183, pointing to a high-scoring affair—Gardner-Webb’s games go over 16/29 times, and Upstate’s average game total (158.6) tops this line.

Best Bet: Over 157.5 (-110). Expect a shootout as both defenses falter in this do-or-die spot. Gardner-Webb should win, but the over’s the sharper play.

NEC Tournament - Quarterfinal Preview

1.) #8 Le Moyne vs. #1 CCSU - 7:00 PM ET

Tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 1 seed CCSU Blue Devils (22-6, 13-2 NEC) host the No. 8 seed Le Moyne Dolphins (9-20, 4-11 NEC) at William H. Detrick Gymnasium. CCSU swept the season series with a 9-point win (84-75, Feb. 27) and a 23-point rout (93-70, Jan. 25), riding an 11-game win streak behind Devin Haid’s scoring punch. Le Moyne, led by AJ Dancier’s recent 18.0 PPG, has grit but lacks firepower against CCSU’s elite defense (63.6 PPG allowed, 26th nationally).

Betting Insights: CCSU opens at -12.5 (-110), a juicy line given their 16-point average margin vs. Le Moyne this year and 8-2 ATS run in their last 10. Le Moyne’s 15-12 ATS record tempts, but their 9-20 mark says blowout risk. The over/under at 144.5 looks low—past games hit 159 and 163, and both teams trend over lately (Le Moyne 10/10, CCSU 7/10).

Best Bet: Over 144.5 (-110). CCSU’s dominance might pad the score, and Le Moyne’s desperation could keep it lively. Safer than banking on a 12.5-point spread in a tournament setting.

2.) #7 Chicago State vs. #2 LIU - 7:00 PM ET

Tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 7 seed Chicago State Cougars (4-27, 4-12 NEC) face the No. 2 seed LIU Sharks (16-15, 12-4 NEC) at Steinberg Wellness Center. LIU split the series—stifling Chicago State 53-39 at home January 5, then falling 73-67 in OT February 1—but enters on a six-game win streak, led by Malachi Davis (13.7 PPG) and a top-50 defense (65.4 PPG allowed). Chicago State, losers of seven straight, leans on Jalen Forrest’s scoring but battles injuries, down to a skeleton crew.

Betting Insights: LIU’s -12.5 (-110) looks tasty with their 5-0-1 ATS run in the last six and 10-2 home mark, though Chicago State’s 7-7 ATS as a big dog and Feb. 1 upset keep it honest. The over/under at 129.5 is low—February’s game hit 140, and both teams trend over (LIU 16/27, Chicago State 15/28).

Best Bet: LIU -12.5 (-110). The Sharks’ defensive clamp and home edge should bury a hobbled Chicago State squad by double digits.

3.) #6 Wagner vs. #3 SFPA - 7:00 PM ET

Tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 6 seed Wagner Seahawks (14-15, 6-10 NEC) face the No. 3 seed Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash (13-17, 8-8 NEC) at DeGol Arena. Wagner swept the season series, winning 70-68 in double OT on January 20 and 68-66 on January 26, both by 2 points. The Seahawks, riding Ja’Kair Sanchez (24 points in the Jan. 20 win) and a top-5 defense (60.7 PPG allowed), look to extend their 3-game streak over Saint Francis. The Red Flash, powered by Bobby Rosenberger III (11.6 PPG) and a home scoring bump (80.6 PPG at DeGol), aim to flip the script.

Betting Insights: Saint Francis (PA) is a -2.5 favorite (-110), with a moneyline around -135 and Wagner at +115. The over/under is 122.5. Wagner’s 2-0 ATS edge vs. Saint Francis this year (9-16 ATS overall) meets the Red Flash’s 14-13 ATS record and 7-5 ATS in their last 12 home games. A -2.5 spread favors Saint Francis’s home juice—they’ve covered similar lines at DeGol—but Wagner’s defense and tight wins keep it close. The total’s low: their games averaged 136 points, and Saint Francis’s 19/27 overs clash with Wagner’s 11/25. At 122.5, it’s a coin flip—combined averages (135.1 PPG) say over, but Wagner’s D could stifle it.

Best Bet: Over 122.5 (-110). Past games cleared 134, and Saint Francis’s home offense (80.6 PPG) should test Wagner’s elite D enough to hit the mark, even if it’s tight.

4.) #5 Stonehill vs. #4 FDU - 7:00 PM ET

Tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 5 seed Stonehill Skyhawks (15-16, 7-9 NEC) face the No. 4 seed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (12-19, 8-8 NEC) at Bogota Savings Bank Center. FDU swept the season series, winning 74-63 on February 15 at home and 81-68 on February 27 on the road—an average 12-point margin. The Knights, led by Terrence Brown (20.6 PPG, 25 points in the Feb. 27 win), boast a 17-11 ATS record and a 13-2 home mark. Stonehill, with Louie Semona (13.2 PPG), brings a solid defense (70.6 PPG allowed) but falters on the road (5-11).

Betting Insights: FDU is favored at -3.5 (-110), with a moneyline of -162 and Stonehill at +134. The over/under is 141.5. FDU’s 8-2 ATS in their last 10 and 2-0 vs. Stonehill this season make -3.5 appealing, especially at home. Stonehill’s 12-16-1 ATS and 5-10 ATS on the road lean against them, though their defense might tighten it up. The total’s tricky—February games hit 137 and 149 (avg. 143), FDU’s games go over 18/29 times, but Stonehill’s 8/29 overs and road scoring dip (61.6 PPG) add risk.

Best Bet: FDU -3.5 (-110). The Knights’ home dominance, series sweep, and ATS edge should clear the spread against a road-challenged Stonehill team.

OVC Tournament - 1st Round Preview

1.) #8 UT Martin vs #5 Tennessee Tech - 7:00 PM ET

Tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 5 seed UT Martin Skyhawks (13-18, 8-10 OVC) battle the No. 4 seed Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (15-16, 10-8 OVC) at the Ford Center in Evansville, IN. The teams split their series: Tennessee Tech won 78-63 on January 23 at home, but UT Martin flipped it with a 76-65 victory on February 20 at home. UT Martin’s Tarence Guinyard (15.8 PPG, 26 points in the Feb. 20 win) leads a rebounding squad (36.0 RPG, 22nd nationally), while Tennessee Tech’s Jaylon Johnson (13.2 PPG, 4.8 APG) fuels a gritty attack that’s 2-0 in overtime vs. UT Martin this year.

Betting Insights: UT Martin is a -1.5 favorite (-110), with a moneyline of -122 and Tennessee Tech at +102. The over/under is 141.5. UT Martin’s 12-12-1 ATS and 7-6 as a favorite lean toward a slim cover, backed by their recent win. Tennessee Tech’s 11-13-1 ATS but 2-0 vs. UT Martin (both overs) shows fight—especially in OT thrillers (89-85, 71-66). The total’s hit 141+ in both prior games, with UT Martin’s 13/25 overs and Tennessee Tech’s 14/25 overs suggesting points.

Best Bet: Over 141.5 (-110). Both games this season topped 141, and tournament stakes should keep the scoreboard ticking—safer than a razor-thin spread.

2.) #7 Morehead State vs. #6 Lindenwood - 9:30 PM ET

Tonight at 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 7 seed Morehead State Eagles (15-16, 10-10 OVC) meet the No. 6 seed Lindenwood Lions (15-16, 10-10 OVC) at the Ford Center. Morehead State swept the season series, winning 67-49 on January 18 and 82-65 on February 13, led by Kenny White Jr. (12.3 PPG) and a stingy defense (68.6 PPG allowed). Lindenwood’s Jadis Jones (12.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG) brings balance, but their 0-4 skid vs. Morehead State looms large in this neutral-site clash.

Betting Insights: Morehead State’s a -1.5 favorite (-105), with a moneyline of -115 and Lindenwood at -105. The over/under is 133.5. Morehead State’s 4-0 run vs. Lindenwood and 17.5-point average margin this season back the spread, but their 3-8 ATS as favorites cautions. Lindenwood’s 8-12 ATS as underdogs hints at competitiveness. The total’s low—games averaged 131.5, and Morehead State’s D could cap it (13/28 overs vs. Lindenwood’s 11/28 unders).

Best Bet: Under 133.5 (-110). Expect a grind—it’s hit under in their tighter matchups, and Morehead State’s defense should keep this below the line.

Summit League Tournament - 1st Round Preview

1.) #9 Oral Roberts vs. #8 Kansas City - 8:00 PM ET

Tonight at 8:00 p.m. ET (Summit League Network), the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (7-22, 3-13 Summit) battle the Kansas City Roos (12-19, 4-12 Summit) at Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, SD. The teams split their series: Kansas City won 74-67 on January 4 at home, but Oral Roberts flipped it with an 81-74 victory on February 15 at home. Oral Roberts’ Isaac McBride (19.0 PPG, 43rd nationally) leads a shaky offense, while Kansas City’s Jamar Brown (16.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG) powers a squad that’s dropped 7 of its last 10 but owns a rebounding edge (32.9 RPG).

Betting Insights: Kansas City is a -5.5 favorite (-110), with a moneyline of -245 and Oral Roberts at +200. The over/under is 135.5. Kansas City’s 13-14 ATS and 5-5 as a favorite lean toward a cover, buoyed by their rebounding. Oral Roberts’ 9-16 ATS but 1-1 vs. Kansas City shows some fight—especially with McBride’s scoring. The total’s been inconsistent, with Kansas City at 12/25 overs and Oral Roberts at 13/25 overs, though their prior games hit 141+.

Best Bet: Kansas City -5.5 (-110). The Roos’ rebounding and home-like neutral site edge should outlast Oral Roberts’ porous defense (78.7 PPG allowed)—safer than a tight total.

Sun Belt Conference Tournament - 2nd Round Preview

1.) #12 Southern Miss vs. #9 GA Southern - 6:00 PM ET

Tonight at 6:00 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 12 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (12-21, 5-13 Sun Belt) battle the No. 9 seed Georgia Southern Eagles (16-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL. The teams split their series: Georgia Southern won 88-67 on January 11 at home, but Southern Miss flipped it with a 72-68 victory on February 1 at home. Southern Miss’ Denijay Harris (16.7 PPG, 10.8 RPG) powered a 66-63 comeback win over Coastal Carolina yesterday, snapping an eight-game skid, while Georgia Southern’s Tyren Moore (16.3 PPG, 3.0 APG) leads a squad riding a two-game win streak into the Sun Belt Tournament.

Betting Insights: Georgia Southern is a -5.5 favorite (-110), with a moneyline of -190 and Southern Miss at +160. The over/under is 149.5. Georgia Southern’s 13-17 ATS but 5-2 in their last seven games shows form, backed by their earlier rout. Southern Miss’ 11-9 ATS in conference play and yesterday’s gritty win suggest fight—especially with Harris’s double-doubles. The total’s hit 150+ in both prior games, with Georgia Southern’s 15/25 overs and Southern Miss’ 15/25 overs signaling points.

Best Bet: Over 149.5 (-110). Both matchups this season topped 150, and Southern Miss’s momentum from yesterday’s win could fuel another high-scoring clash—safer than a spread with Georgia Southern’s up-and-down play.

2.) #11 Louisiana vs. #10 Old Dominion - 8:30 PM ET

Tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+), the No. 11 seed Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (12-20, 8-10 Sun Belt) face the No. 10 seed Old Dominion Monarchs (12-19, 8-10 Sun Belt) at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL. The teams split the season series: Old Dominion took a 71-60 win on January 9 at home, but Louisiana answered with a 68-60 victory on February 15 at home. Louisiana, fresh off a 73-69 OT upset of ULM yesterday behind Mostapha El Moutaouakkil’s 28 points, brings momentum, while Old Dominion’s Robert Davis Jr. (15.6 PPG, 3.4 3PM) powers a rested squad with a top-50 national three-point attack (102 makes).

Betting Insights: Old Dominion opens at -2.5 (-110), a tight line given their 14-15 ATS clip and 2-4 mark as a 2.5+ favorite, though fresher legs help. Louisiana’s 12-19 ATS record improved with yesterday’s cover, but their 7-10 mark as a 2.5+ underdog flags fatigue risk after 40+ minute efforts. The over/under at 134.5 feels stingy—prior games hit 131 and 128, but Louisiana’s 15/31 overs and Old Dominion’s 19/31 overs (plus yesterday’s 142) tease upside.

Best Bet: Over 134.5 (-110). Louisiana’s desperation from yesterday’s OT grinder and Old Dominion’s perimeter barrage (Davis Jr.’s 102 threes) should push this past 134.5. Safer than a 2.5-point spread with Louisiana’s tired legs in the mix.